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Should one Refinance their Mortgage

June 6, 2022 by Justin M. Follmer, MBA, CFP®, AIF®

As mortgage rates sit at decade record highs, it’s no surprise to see and hear countless ads on social media and the radio that one “should refinance their mortgage” before rates go higher. Even during periods of decreasing rates, one “should refinance their mortgage” to take advantage of lower rates. It’s obvious to us that mortgage companies want borrowers to consider refinancing their mortgages regardless of where rates are. We aren’t faulting them, but in our fiduciary opinion, one “should refinance their mortgage” only when it is in their best interests.

How to determine when one should refinance their mortgage

It’s important to understand how interest rates work within mortgages and their impact on the amortization schedule. With the help of an example, we can illustrate the effects of mortgaging your home. Let’s assume you are purchasing a $450,000 home, 20% down, at 4.75% annual interest over 30 years. This results in a $360,000 mortgage with a Principal and Interest payment of $1,877.93 per month.[1]

The amortization schedule shows that $1,425 of the payment will apply to interest while $452.93 towards the principal of the loan. Each successive monthly payment will decrease the interest portion and increase the principal portion. The interest is front-loaded to the earlier years of the mortgage. And then vice versa towards the later years. It’s important to understand this because it can help determine when one should refinance their mortgage. And here’s why. If you pay this mortgage as agreed, then you will have paid $316,054.95 in interest over the life of your loan. That’s a lot of money not going in your pocket!

Why is this so important? Because each time one refinances their mortgage, it resets the amortization schedule. This can be a good or bad thing depending on how the numbers play out.

Holding all else equal, either refinancing from a 30 to a 15 year, refinancing to a lower interest rate, and/or adding additional payments usually have the effect of reducing total interest paid over the life of the loan.

On the other hand, holding all else equal, resetting from a 30 year to a new 30 year, using home equity to pay off consumer debt, or allowing forbearance programs to continue, usually have the effect of increasing the total interest paid.

There are, of course, exceptions to the above

We hear ads consistently tout the benefits of refinancing to pay off credit cards, student loans, and car loans. Because mortgage companies don’t have a fiduciary responsibility, they rarely must determine if that is in your best interests. It’s up to you to determine if it makes the most sense in your specific situation. Using equity to refinance credit cards, for example, won’t allow the mortgage interest on that portion of the loan to be deductible. It will also increase your balance owed and spread your payments over the life of the loan.

“But it’s at a lower rate!” That may be true; but behavioral finance can cause further problems if you don’t address why the balance of the credit card grew over time. If this is left unresolved, one risks allowing the credit card balance to continue to grow.

All credit card debt isn’t bad debt. It’s a great way of building credit that allows one to borrow at the best rates when used responsibly. Our job as advisors is to provide advice that is sometimes hard to swallow. But, that allows clients to better position themselves towards accomplishing their most important financial goals. It’s not always easy, but tiny adjustments now can have immense changes years later.  

In the end, one must compare the total interest and costs paid over the current mortgage versus the new mortgage. This may include additional comparisons of consumer debt balances and total interest over the life of those loans plus the opportunity costs of these choices. You need to answer: does refinancing this debt put me in a better financial position when it’s paid back?

Navigating this challenging financial life is no casual walk in the park. The good news is that you don’t have to travel alone. We help clients of all backgrounds make challenging decisions like deciding when they should refinance their mortgage. If you’re tired of the confusion of doing it alone or if you have existing advisors that just aren’t cutting it, consider getting in touch today. We’re fiduciaries first, which means we’ll provide the advice that is in your best interests, not in the interests of us or the mortgage company’s bottom line.   

[1] Ignoring property taxes and homeowner’s insurance premiums

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Financial Tips

Portfolios and Coronavirus

March 12, 2020 by Justin M. Follmer, MBA, CFP®, AIF®

coronavirus

It goes without saying that the entire world is fixated on the near- and long-term ramifications the coronavirus, COVID-19, could have on the world’s population and resulting global growth expectations. Using the Russell 3000 as a widely available proxy for the entire US stock market, as of midday Thursday 3.12.2020, it was well into bear market territory. It is down -25.22% since the previous high set back in February.

What’s Causing the Markets to React so Fiercely?

Using the 1st Pillar of Our Investment Philosophy, we know that world markets are a giant information processing system, in that, market prices reflect all available information and expectations of the future. With stock markets entering bear market territories (defined as a drop of more than 20% from recent highs), it would indicate that global growth expectations are now less than they were just a few short weeks ago…the question is how much of an economic impact this will ultimately have on the economy?

“Market declines can occur when investors are forced to reassess expectations for the future,” read the latest publication from Dimensional, “the expansion of the outbreak is causing worry among governments, companies, and individuals about the impact on the global economy. We see this happening when markets decline sharply, as they have recently, as well as when they rise. Such declines can be distressing to any investor, but they are also a demonstration that the market is functioning as we would expect.”

With new cases of the virus popping up across the world, the concern for widespread infection with little containment, and no current vaccine, it makes sense that the markets are reacting to any signs of negative news. Yet it seems that positive news is hard to come by lately.

So Let’s start there; here’s some positive news articles you likely haven’t read.

Scientists are working 24/7 on potential vaccines, but they take time.

Supply chains are starting to come back online in China.

The US-China trade war unintentionally prepared companies for coronavirus.

Markets will likely get relief as more positive news happens and with confirmation that new cases are peaking or slowing over time or when a vaccine has been discovered. As of last check (3.12.2020 at 12:45pm EST), there are 56,864 active cases across the globe, with 90% of them (51,150) reportedly in Mild Condition; 10% (5,714) in serious or critical. This means that 68,677 have recovered. Unfortunately, 4,756 people have lost their lives. (source)

So…What’s next?

It’s impossible for anyone to determine the direction of this market until more reliable positive data takes hold. “From a macro-economic point of view, the real question is how this impacts the US economy over the coming year,” says Brian Wesbury of First Trust Portfolios in a recent email, “The US consumer is on solid footing…we believe, just like all other viruses we have seen over the past decades that have dissipated, the coronavirus will be no different.”

“We can’t tell you when things will turn or by how much, but our expectation is that bearing today’s risk will be compensated with positive expected returns. That’s been the lesson of past health crises, such as the Ebola and swine-flu outbreaks earlier this century, and of market disruptions, such as the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Additionally, history has shown no reliable way to identify a market peak or bottom. These beliefs argue against making market moves based on fear or speculation, even as difficult and traumatic events transpire. (Source)”

The Takeaway

With markets continuing their slide, it’s important that you adhere to an investment strategy that was designed specifically for you. Clients of Coastal Wealth Advisors go through a robust risk tolerance assessment to test their commitment to a certain level of risk given their own emotional reaction to hypothetical changes in the value of their portfolio. It is this assessment that drives the portfolio design process. Combining this risk-based discussion with an Investment Philosophy rooted in academic science can make for a better overall investment experience. This is how we address negative market movements, like the coronavirus, long before they occur. We never have all of the answers about world events and it doesn’t mean that portfolios won’t fluctuate over time, but it does mean that the fluctuations should be in line with what you are willing to withstand when it may seem like everyone else is running for the hills. A better strategy, in my opinion and backed by academic evidence, is to build an allocation that marries your financial goals with your risk tolerance and is designed to weather market storms. In essence, build a portfolio that you can stick with during the good and bad times.

If you find yourself in a state of panic or uncertainty regarding your current portfolio, please get in touch with Justin today. Call him directly at 843-870-9568 or email [email protected] He’d be happy to chat with you and provide you with honest feedback…even if it’s simply to do nothing.

Filed Under: Uncategorized

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Copyright © 2023 · Coastal Wealth Advisors. Coastal Wealth Advisors, LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor in the states of South Carolina, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Florida, and notice-filed in Texas. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. Investing involves risks such as fluctuating value and potential loss of principal value. There is no guarantee that any investment strategy will be successful. Diversification neither assures a profit nor guarantees against a loss in a declining market. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Nothing listed on this website should be construed as specific investment advice; we welcome you to contact us or your advisors to tailor advise to your specific financial situation.